Schooling fish are led by experienced individuals.
Photo: Institute of Marine ResearchPublished: 08.05.2025 Updated: 14.05.2025
Although it has been migrating to Møre to spawn for a century, in 2021 the world's biggest herring population suddenly chose Lofoten instead, near its overwintering grounds. Since then, it has continued to spawn there.
Now researchers believe they know why – and they have published their results in Nature, one of the world's most prestigious journals.
"There were too few older fish left to show the young herring where they should spawn. The new generation had to improvise", says marine scientist and lead author Aril Slotte.
This was the result of Norwegian spring-spawning herring being overfished from 2017 to 2022, and of the fishery selectively targeting older fish. Meanwhile, a large herring cohort from 2016 reached sexual maturity.
The study is based on the theory that schooling fish are led by individuals with extensive experience. Newcomers are dependent on knowledge being transferred from these "gurus".
"By selectively targeting the oldest individuals, we remove collective knowledge from the population", says Slotte.
"If more of the older herring had survived, they would probably have continued spawning in Møre.
The study is based on a huge volume of data that all point in the same direction (see fact box). Fish tagging, for instance.
Over the period 2016-23, researchers from the Institute of Marine Research (IMR) tagged 200,000 herring while they overwintered off the county of Troms. When they were recaptured and delivered to fish landing sites in Norway and Iceland, this was recorded.
The tagging data confirmed that the remaining "old herring" continued to spawn in Møre until the 2016 cohort became the majority of the spawning population after 2020.
The old-timers deferred to the youngsters and accompanied them to the new spawning grounds in Lofoten.
"The most important thing to herring is their school. Staying behind by yourself is not an option. They have to follow the school, even if it heads in an unfamiliar direction", says Slotte.
This may explain why herring sometimes mistakenly migrate to other stocks, which the researchers also documented in the study.
The northward shift in the herring's spawning grounds means the herring larvae no longer pass the rich bird cliffs at Røst when they drift with the coastal current to their nursery grounds in the Barents Sea.
"Historically, plentiful access to juvenile herring has meant a successful breeding season for the birds. The new migration pattern could create challenges for seabirds, fish and sea mammals", says Slotte.
All of the evidence suggests that Møre is also a better spawning ground for the herring, from a purely objective point of view.
The herring population may therefore suffer in the long run by spawning in a sub-optimal area.
The researchers believe the results show the need to rethink how the herring stock is managed.
Currently, quotas are allocated for a number of tonnes of herring. Larger, older fish, which have a higher market value, are therefore selectively targeted. They migrate further and are also fished by other nations outside Norwegian waters.
"Now we have demonstrated how important the older fish can be to the population's collective consciousness and cultural heritage. The natural next step will be to look into giving quota advice that takes into account the herring's age structure", says the scientist.
He does not rule out that the herring will return to Møre to spawn.
"If or when we have another really big cohort, it could come into play again. When the population grows, herring tend to spread out across a wider area to spawn. Then the herring may once again seek out the better conditions in Møre", says Slotte.
But really big herring cohorts can be few and far between. The population is still dominated by the herring that hatched in 2016, which constitute over half of all adult herrings.
"We are hopeful about the herring cohort that hatched in 2022, which will reach sexually maturity in 2026-27. We are following developments with excitement", he concludes.
Aril Slotte, Are Salthaug, Sindre Vatnehol, Espen Johnsen, Erik Askov Mousing, Åge Høines, Cecilie Thorsen Broms, Sigurvin Bjarnason, Eydna í Homrum, Øystein Skagseth and Erling Kåre Stenevik. Herring spawned poleward following fishery-induced collective memory loss. Nature (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-08983-3